Early Warnings for All: the four pillars of an early warning system

The UN has set a goal for everyone on Earth to be protected by early warning by 2027. We look at what an early warning system needs to work, through its four pillars.

Plan-view illustration of evacuation routes linking highlighted homes to a shelter

Everyone, by 2027

In March 2022 the UN Secretary-General launched the Early Warnings for All initiative, with the goal that everyone on Earth is protected by early warning systems against hazardous weather and climate events by the end of 2027.

The goal links to Target G of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030: substantially increasing the availability of and access to multi-hazard early warning systems and disaster risk information.

The four pillars of early warning

PillarWhat it meansExample in urban flooding
Disaster risk knowledgeKnowing where and who is at riskFlood history; locations of low roads, underpasses and semi-basement homes; lists of people who need evacuation support
Detection, monitoring and forecastingDetecting and forecasting the hazardField rainfall observation, radar and public stations, flood risk analysis
Warning dissemination and communicationTelling people in time, in a way they understandStaff alerts, resident SMS and app alerts, step-by-step guidance
Preparedness and response capabilitiesActing on the warningClosures, dispatch of evacuation support staff, shelter operation, drills

Under the UN initiative, the four pillars are led by UNDRR, WMO, ITU and IFRC respectively.

No pillar works alone

Early warning is a chain. An accurate forecast is useless if the warning never arrives, and a warning that arrives does not become action unless it is clear who does what.

For fast-escalating hazards such as local downpours, the time between pillars must be especially short. Cutting the time from observation to action is how damage is reduced.

Sources

  1. Early Warnings for All — United Nations, 2022
  2. Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 — UNDRR, 2015
  3. Multi-hazard early warning systems — WMO